Short Oil Gas Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SNPIX Fund  USD 11.26  0.37  3.18%   
The entity has a beta of -0.21, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Short Oil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Short Oil is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Short Oil Gas has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
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Expense Ratio Date28th of November 2025
Expense Ratio1.7800
  

Short Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,338  in Short Oil Gas on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (212.00) from holding Short Oil Gas or give up 15.84% of portfolio value over 90 days. Short Oil Gas is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.3222% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Short, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Short Oil is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Short Oil Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
11.26
Please note that Short Oil's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Short Oil Gas has a current Real Value of $10.25 per share. The regular price of the fund is $11.26. We determine the value of Short Oil Gas from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Short Oil is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Short Mutual Fund. However, Short Oil's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.26 Real  10.25 Hype  11.26 Naive  11.4
The intrinsic value of Short Oil's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Short Oil's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.25
Real Value
11.57
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Short Oil Gas helps investors to forecast how Short mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Short Oil more accurately as focusing exclusively on Short Oil's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1712.1713.16
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9411.2612.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.0811.4012.72
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Short Oil Gas extending back to September 15, 2005. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Short Oil stands at 11.26, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 11.26 and the lowest price hitting 11.26 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Short Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Short Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.26 90 days 11.26 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Short Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Short Oil Gas probability density function shows the probability of Short Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Short Oil Gas has a beta of -0.21. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Short Oil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Short Oil Gas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Short Oil Gas has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Short Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Short Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Short Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9411.2612.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9310.2511.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.0811.4012.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1712.1713.16
Details

Short Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Short Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Short Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Short Oil Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Short Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Short Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Short Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Short Oil Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Short Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
This fund generated-7.0 ten year return of -7.0%
Short Oil maintains about 100.0% of its assets in cash

Short Oil Fundamentals Growth

Short Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Short Oil, and Short Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Short Mutual Fund performance.

About Short Oil Performance

Evaluating Short Oil's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Short Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Short Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in financial instruments that the fund Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the funds investment objective. The index is constructed and maintained by SP Dow Jones Indices LLC. The index represents the energy sector of the SP 500 Index. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Short Oil Gas performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Short Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Short Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Short Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
This fund generated-7.0 ten year return of -7.0%
Short Oil maintains about 100.0% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Short Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Short Oil's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Short Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Short Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Short Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Short Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Short Oil's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Short Oil's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Short Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Short Oil's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Short Oil's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Short Mutual Fund

Short Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Short Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Short with respect to the benefits of owning Short Oil security.
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